2025 Base Metals

"If the Chinese real estate market were to post a recovery, this would see domestic demand for copper tick higher and could lead to a tighter supply and demand balance overall, assuming all other things remain unchanged. This would underpin even higher prices than we are currently projecting"

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2025 Base Metals

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Key factors driving copper, zinc and key base metals prices

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Short-term volatility has defined the base metals market in H1 2025. 
But long-term drivers remain cleardeepening copper deficits, EV adoption could add 1.4M MT of nickel demand by 2035, and zinc use is set to grow with infrastructure expansion.
Analysts see today’s levels as a rare positioning opportunity, with the potential to reset valuations as supply tightens and demand accelerates.

Short-term volatility has defined the base metals market in H1 2025. 
But long-term drivers remain cleardeepening copper deficits, EV adoption could add 1.4M MT of nickel demand by 2035, and zinc use is set to grow with infrastructure expansion.
Analysts see today’s levels as a rare positioning opportunity, with the potential to reset valuations as supply tightens and demand accelerates.